Monday, 17 June 2019

A Analysis

Tuesday, 13 September 2016 12:14

These Handsets are Hot!

Samsung's Note 7 release has turned out to be an absolute fiasco. The latest incident is a Note 7 alleged to have exploded and set a Jeep on fire.

Nathan Dornacher claims the Galaxy Note 7 caused the fire

This looks and sounds bad, and apparently has (or will) cost the company billions in recall expenses, reparations and replacements. Reputation risk is no small deal either. Let's face it, this looks very bad. It feels bad for investors as well, with billions of dollars of market cap disappearing. As bad as it may look, keep in mind the media is giving a less then comprehensive view of the situation. I have found roughly 35 to 40 incidences of burning or exploding Notes. If one were to divide that by the approximate amount of Note 7s sold (2.5 million), it would be roughly .0000148, or just over a thousandth of a percent. The number is not even great enough to determine that there is a problem with the Note 7 in particular. Alas, due to the social and mainstream media exposure, it has not choice but to recall. The FAA has banned use on airplanes (despite the fact you'd have similar odds of the airplane itself crashing).   

Now, I'm sure many of you may disagree with my statisctical view of the situation, but if I'm wrong then iPhones are a risk that need to be recalled as well. I

've found just as many (possibly more) cases of iPhones catching aflame and exploding than that of the Note 7 with just a cursory search.

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The major difference between the Note 7 incidences and the iPhone incidences is that people were serverely injured in many of the iPhone occurences and Apple has (at least according to my cursory research) done very little to remedy this as compared to Samsungs respones. I would chalk this up to the Note 7 incidences getting much more exposure than the iPhone incidences. 

Short Samsung long LG Veritaseum contract
 
A damaged iPhone that caught fire and burned through a man's jeans after it was bent in an accident.A damaged iPhone that caught fire and burned through a man's jeans after it was bent in an accident.

EDMONTON — Twice in the last week, an Alberta family has been forced to flee for their lives after a charging cell phone burst into flames, part of a rare worldwide phenomenon in which smartphones occasionally transform into tiny Presto logs. In Rimbey, Alta., 16-year-old Josh Schultz woke up surrounded by flames after his iPhone combusted in the middle of the night. The family managed to get the blaze under control, but not before Schulz had suffered third-degree burns, and the house had been rendered temporarily uninhabitable.Three days later, an Edmonton fourplex was evacuated in the wee hours of the morning after a charging cell phone began shooting out flames.

She said his iPhone unexpectedly began to smoke and melt, causing first- and second-degree burns. NewsChannel 5 on Your Side has been following cases of exploding smart phones for months. While it's happened across the country, this is one of the first documented cases that's occurred in the St. Louis area. "We were panicking and freaking out. I'm like 'Oh my god, my son is on fire!'" said Michelle Terry of St. Peters.

If you do a search, you can find dozens more, particularly surrounding the iPhone 6/6s series. It remans to be seen if Apple will get the negative publcity backlash that Samsung has recieved, but for some reason I doubt so. The Samsung affair was a strong opportunity to short the stock/ADR. If you missed that, we can wait around to see if the company that avoided the mistakes that Apple made and that Samsung unwisely followed. What mistake is that, do you ask? They both opted to seal in their potentially highly reacgive Lithium batteries, case of form over function. Apple should have been able to take advantage of Samsung's problems, but the iPhone 7 is just so far behind the Note 7 in terms of capability, they simple stand very, very little chance. As a matter of fact, sans a recall it's quite likely that the Galaxy Note 7 would have trumped the iPhone 7 Plus.

Very recently, a compettor of both has announced a flagship device that likely puts the iPhone 7 plus to shame and gives the Note 7 a good run for its money. That company is LG.... and guess what? It has a removable battery and an all metal, aviation grade body. A removable battery design would have saved Samsung over $1.7B, since they could have sent out new batteries in instead of recalling all devices.
Even Apple afficiandos are underwhelmed by the progress of Apple tech relative to Samsung's. While most have said the Note 7 is the best thint since sliced bread, not having it doesn't do anyone any good, and then there's that exploding thing.
LG has come up with just the right device at just the right time. According to one reviewer
Similar to previous LG phones, the more I use it, the more I like it. Also, the longer I use the LG V20 with the Note 7 now returned to T-Mobile, the possibility that I go for the V20 rather than the Note 7 increases as well.
Another reviewer detailed what makes this device ideal for a growing minority, yet influential section, or the smart phone population - the media producers (in contrast to consumers):

Made for Multimedia

Unlike the G5 and its modular system of third-party hardware add-ons, the LG V20 comes with a built-in quad-DAC made by ESS. LG reps made a swipe at the disappearing headphone jacks on some competitors—like Apple’s rumored iPhone 7 and Motorola’s Moto Z saying that the DAC can be used with high-end headphones to enjoy higher fidelity music. ESS reps in San Francisco informed me that the DAC on the V20 supplies enough power to power high-end headphones that traditionally would require an additional power source. When you load the V20 with uncompressed audio files, plugging a pair of headphones into the smartphone will give you a more high fidelity listening experience with the built-in DAC. For comparison, the modular DAC on LG’s G5 costs roughly $199, but the accessory isn’t even available for sale to date for US customers.

LG also said during its keynote that for a limited time, the V20 will ship with earbuds from Bang & Olufsen.

Better Audio Production

Screen Shot 2016-09-07 at 12.12.34 AM.png

The V20 comes with three high fidelity microphones, which LG claims will record better sounding audio files and better videos. The microphones will help to reduce audio clipping in noisy environments, LG said during its presentation. This means that you can capture clip-free audio from concerts with studio quality-like recordings, according to an LG spokesperson. LG also included its Hi-Fi Audio capture app to allow you better control of your audio recording with more fine-tuned settings.

Below is a Veritaseum Smart Cotnract allowing you to swap Samsung equity exposure (on the Korea Stock Exchange) for LG equity (KS) at 3x leverage (using a digital multiplier). No broker, risk or legacy stock exchange needed. No counterparty or credit risk to deal with.

Short Samsung long LG Veritaseum contract

Yesterday, I attended (and apparently partially disrupted) the Bitcoin Law: Regulatory and Transactions Symposium at the New York Law School yesterday morning. See pics below, and make no mistake about it... the world is putting serious intellectual capital into the bitcoin economy now. There's no turning back!

20141021 100709

20141021 095354

This panel presided over a discussion of payments and transactions...

20141021 095358

Needless to say, the topic of Apple and Apple Pay came up. All of a sudden... BOOM! The RDF appeared out of nowhere and filled the room. Apple is this, Apple is that, Apple is so great as compared to Google. My regular readers and followers know the routine.

My regular readers and followers also know that I couldn't just sit back and let the Apple RDF simply disrupt everything true, factual and real, so I stepped in and... well, I disrupted :-). Unfortunately, I didn't get video of it since I was the one disrupting so I decided to put a little home made video in after the fact. Enjoy!

Those who wish to try our new trading platform to go long or short Apple or Google, or both - simply download the client and the quickstart guide, and let 'er rip! Remember, this is the only place you can trade at this level - peer to peer, without banks, brokerages or exchanges and the counterparty/credit risk and privacy issues that they introduce.

aapl trade

What happens when you combine the world class analysis behind BoomBustBlog with bleeding edge tech behind Veritaseum's UltraCoin? Here's the answer...

On August 20th, 2014 I posted: Apple's Price Hits All-Time High On New Product Speculation, Take Your Positions Via UltraCoin, to wit:

Bloomberg reports: Apple Soars to Record Amid Optimism About Coming ProductsApple Soars to Record Amid Optimism About Coming Products

Apple Inc.’s stock soared to an all-time high, surpassing a 2012 record as investors look ahead to new products such as bigger-screen iPhones and a wristwatch-like device that may jump-start revenue growth.

Apple rose 1.4 percent to $100.53 yesterday, topping the split-adjusted record of $100.30 reached on Sept. 19, 2012, just before the iPhone 5 went on sale. The shares, which have advanced 25 percent this year, extended their gains today before the markets opened, trading as high as $100.98.

Here's my take on Apple back on that fateful iPhone 5 release date.

Here's my opinion at the iPhone 6 release date (go to the 15:16 marker)...

Now, back to Apple's Price Hits All-Time High On New Product Speculation, Take Your Positions Via UltraCoin...

This is what a bear (contrarian) trade on Apple looks like in UltraCoin...

AAPL short trade

To illustrate the flexibility of the UltraCoin trading system, I've presented a scenario where you can actually swap Apple returns for Google returns in lieu of simply going long Apple or short Apple.

AAPL for GOOG swap trade

You can also swap Apple returns for USD, EUR, GBP, or RMB - which is essentially shorting it in various currencies. If you are bullish on Apple, simple click the "switch" button, which will reverse the exposures.

Did it work? Well...

Apple Irrational exuberance You know what to do next...

Download the UltraCoin client here. Anyone who wants to try the system out with small trades of .01BTC can simple create them and email me to take the other side of the trade (I'll take the opposite side of any trade).

 

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