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Monday, 16 February 2015 00:00

Translating Goldman Sachs 2015 Recommendations As UltraCoin Trade Setups pt 3 Featured

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Continuing the theme "Using UltraCoin To Take Positions On Goldman Sachs 2015 Recommended Global Macro Trades" (& part 2), we will focus on recommendation number 2 as sourced from the Wall Street Journal

Buy 10-year U.S. Treasurys with yields above 3% but not below 2%

The bank expects 10-year U.S. Treasurys, currently yielding around 2.3%, to trade at or above 3.0% by next June.

It may be cheating, but we've had two months to peak into the potential performance of these recommendations, and to date this one hasn't done so well. In my defense, I've been rather skeptical of the "goldilocks" perspective banks anyway, as I stated verbosely in "Using UltraCoin To Take Positions On Goldman Sachs 2015 Recommended Global Macro Trades, pt 1". To put it succinctly, despite all of the rhetoric, the US, and its banks in particular, simple can't afford for rates to cliimb materially. Here's where we stand now in relation to what GS said in November:

CBOE 10 yr note yields Now, there's still 4 months left for this trade to turn to Goldman's client's (muppets, introductory link to the article in the first paragraph for the definition of a muppet) favor. I'll leave it up to you to decide which way you want to lean, while I provide you the platform to go both ways...

 GS 2015 trade reco long 10 yr yields

As it is currently set up, this trade has a maximum win/loss of $1,200 with a capital commitment of $1,436.61. Price leveraged 200x with 300% collateral. As pictured, it is set up to go along with the Goldman recommendation. If you are contrarian, simply hit the switch button in the center of the console and the positions will be reversed to allow you to take the opposing side of this trade.

For those who are not familiar with my previous calls, reference: - 1. Reggie Middleton via Wikipedia - 1. A list of many (but not all) of my calls and mentions in the media And a simple walk through video of a sample Ultra-Coin trade: A Simple Apple Trade Using A Pure Bitcoin Wallet: The UltraCoin Client

New comers to BTC derivative trading are urged to download our:

  1. tutorial

  2. spreadsheet-based trade model to assist you designing your own custom made swaps before committing capital

    1. and of course, the UltraCoin BTC wallet for Windows - or - Mac & Linux, which doubles as the trading client. The wallets have a "Demo Mode" which allows you to trade on testnet if, after using the spreadsheet modeler, you are still not comfortable committing live coins. You can get the demo (testnet) coins here.

Feel free to contact us.

Read 3281 times Last modified on Tuesday, 17 February 2015 11:57

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